Changelog

Every major change, improvement, and fix — documented transparently. ProphetAI is built in the open; this page tracks how the system evolves.

v3.5.0July 2026Latest

Market Expansion & Strategy Intelligence

Major expansion of available markets across all sports, deeper exchange coverage for niche sports, and a fundamental rethink of how the AI learns from its own reasoning.

Feature
All non-soccer sports now receive spreads and totals data alongside moneyline — previously limited to h2h only. The AI can now identify value in handicap and over/under markets across basketball, baseball, ice hockey, American football, tennis, cricket, and more.
Feature
Exchange market coverage expanded from match odds only to sport-specific market types across 18 niche sports — including handicaps, totals, method of victory, round betting, correct score, and placement markets for sports like darts, snooker, boxing, MMA, cricket, rugby, and golf.
Architecture
Strategy files converted from stat-heavy to purely qualitative guidance. The AI now queries its own database for live performance data every run rather than relying on stale cached numbers — ensuring decisions always reflect current reality.
Feature
New reasoning retrospective system: the AI reviews its own research process and rationale for recently settled bets, correlating how it thought with what actually happened. This builds methodology insights over time — not just 'what won' but 'what thinking process leads to good decisions'.
Settlement
Tennis game markets (spreads and totals based on games, not sets) now correctly use specialised settlement logic, since standard score APIs return set counts that don't work for game-based betting lines.
Fix
American football is no longer incorrectly treated as soccer — NFL overtime games previously risked being settled using 'regulation time only' rules intended for soccer's extra time.
Settlement
Full integration test coverage added for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NFL spread and totals settlement — 19 new tests ensuring every major US sport settles correctly across all market types.
Improvement
Website performance display reframed: 'Last 7 Days' and 'Previous 7 Days' rolling windows replace 'This Week / Last Week' for precise, non-misleading labelling. Status pills (Hot Streak, Accelerating, etc.) added to homepage cards.

v3.4.0June 2026

Multi-Currency & Performance Transparency

Full multi-currency localisation across Discord and website, plus a rethink of how performance data is presented to tell the story of recent improvement.

Feature
Multi-currency support: all financial values can now be viewed in ~30 currencies. Discord embeds include a 'View in my currency' button, and the website auto-detects your locale with a manual override panel.
Feature
Performance display overhauled — recent 7-day and 14-day windows prioritised over all-time stats on both the homepage and stats page, showing the bot's trajectory rather than just lifetime averages.
Feature
Stats page redesigned: separate tip performance section with trend graphs, sport-by-sport breakdown with timeframe clarity, and promotional banner showing hypothetical returns when the story is positive.
Feature
Tip-ACCA cross-references: individual tips are now linked to their parent accumulator (and vice versa), enabling the website to show which tips form part of accas.
Improvement
Bet history now sorted by settlement time (not placement time) across all views — form indicators, history page, and API — giving a consistent and accurate picture of recent results.
Fix
Acca odds excluded from ledger average odds calculations — only actual bet odds are used, preventing misleading inflation of displayed average odds.

v3.3.0May 2026

Turnaround Engine

Data-driven qualification scoring, tiered governance that scales with performance, and tools to replay and learn from historical decisions.

Feature
Qualification Scorecard: every tracked bet candidate is scored 0–100 across six factors (closing-line value, odds movement, segment record, research depth, liquidity, and recency). Below-threshold picks are blocked or flagged.
Architecture
4-tier governance system (Survival / Recovery / Growth / Normal) with tier-specific Kelly fractions, daily caps, stake limits, and qualification thresholds. The system automatically loosens restrictions as performance improves.
Feature
Replay harness for backtesting: chronological replay of historical events through the current qualification and governance system, producing Brier scores, calibration data, and simulated P&L.
Feature
Calibration visualisation: predicted vs actual win rates, broken down by confidence tier and sport segment. Available as both interactive JSON and exported PNG plots.
Improvement
Run cadence reduced from 7x to 5x daily — better quality decisions with less data cost. Agent philosophy shifted to 'tools advise, hard rails protect, agent decides'.
Fix
Calibration deflation capped at 15pp with a rolling 50-bet window — prevents death-spiral where a few bad bets cause the system to over-correct and refuse to place any picks.

v3.2.0May 2026

Bankroll Rescue

Emergency governance layer to arrest bankroll decline caused by AI overconfidence and excessive volume. Hard mechanical gates that the AI cannot override.

Architecture
New bankroll governance layer: hard blocks on MEDIUM confidence tracked bets, daily bet caps, exposure limits (50% max), and minimum odds thresholds (1.50). The AI selects what to bet — governance decides whether it may touch bankroll.
Fix
Recommended ACCAs blocked by default after 1W-9L record and -25% ROI. Re-enabled later with proper advisory guardrails and conservative sizing (1-2% of bankroll).
Improvement
Prompt philosophy rewritten: removed volume pressure and daily quotas, replaced with quality-over-quantity messaging. Tips now processed after tracked picks to prevent duplicate detection from blocking stronger picks.
Fix
Tips were blocking tracked bets via the duplicate detection system — tips are now allowed to be promoted to tracked picks without triggering dedup.
Improvement
Event window expanded from 48 hours to 72 hours — gives the AI more time to find value in upcoming fixtures rather than rushing decisions.

v3.1.0May 2026

Credit Leak Fix & Self-Learning

Critical fix for a data credit leak that was burning through the monthly quota, plus the foundations of the bot's self-learning system.

Fix
Fixed critical data provider credit leak in settlement that was consuming ~14,400 unnecessary credits per day. Accurate credit tracking now uses response headers instead of estimates.
Feature
Quota monitoring: Discord warnings at 50%, 60%, 70%, 80%, 90%, and 100% of the monthly budget. Prevents surprise overages and lets us adjust run frequency proactively.
Feature
Self-learning foundations: performance reports, calibration analysis, strategy rule scoring, and Kelly-validated staking with confidence deflation. The bot can now assess its own accuracy by confidence tier.
Improvement
Settlement efficiency: event-time gating prevents premature lookups, 60-minute TTL cache eliminates redundant queries, and enrichment regions narrowed to UK-only (halving per-event data cost).
Feature
AI-controlled Kelly fraction: the bot can adjust its own staking aggressiveness within guardrails, with Discord notifications when it changes its approach.

v3.0.0May 2026

Multi-Agent Pipeline

Complete architecture overhaul — from single-shot agent to multi-stage pipeline with deterministic data gathering and structured decision-making.

Architecture
New 2-stage pipeline: deterministic data gathering (Python, no AI cost) followed by a unified LLM agent session for shortlisting, research, and decisions. Dramatically reduces cost per run while improving data quality.
Feature
Upgraded to a comprehensive primary odds provider — covering 30+ sports with 40+ bookmaker odds for every event. Previously limited to a single-market view.
Feature
Discord embeds now show Best Odds (Top 5) comparison for all bets and tips, letting users find the best price across bookmakers rather than relying on a single source.
Feature
Research cache with TTL and enrichment deduplication — prevents redundant data calls across runs and ensures the AI always works with fresh information.
Improvement
Pipeline health alerting: consecutive failures trigger warnings, and a cost tracking ledger monitors data credits per run to prevent budget overruns.
Settlement
Tiered settlement upgraded with additional score validation: cross-referencing multiple sources to prevent settling on incorrect or partial scores. Sport-specific time buffers for cricket (4h), baseball (4h), and basketball (3h).

v2.0.0April 2026

Exchange Integration & Settlement Hardening

Exchange integration for racing and niche sports, accumulator support, and a complete overhaul of the settlement infrastructure.

Feature
Exchange API integration: live exchange odds, racecards, and authoritative settlement for horse racing, greyhound racing, and motor sport. Per-session API call caps and steward's enquiry awareness built in.
Feature
Accumulator support: new #accumulators Discord channel with treble and 4-fold+ accas. Void/push legs reduce the acca using standard bookmaker rules. Full settlement pipeline for individual legs and parent acca status.
Settlement
Multi-tier settlement pipeline with multiple independent validation sources, AI web research fallback, and human review via Discord. Settlement decoupled from agent runs into a 15-minute independent loop.
Fix
Settlement defences: time guards prevent premature settlement, series metadata prevents cross-match confusion (e.g. MLB series games), and full audit trails for every outcome change.
Architecture
Dev/production environment split: separate git worktrees, databases, Discord channels, and configs. Guarded promotion flow ensures tested code before production deployment.
Fix
Score cross-validation catches wrong scores from upstream providers. When sources disagree on the outcome, the more authoritative source is used and discrepancies are logged for review.
Settlement
Human-in-the-loop settlement: overdue items (>24h unfindable) post to a dedicated #discrepancies channel. Human replies (WON/LOST/VOID) are parsed and applied automatically, with override audit trails.

v1.0.0April 2026

Initial Launch

The beginning — a virtual bankroll AI sports analyst posting picks to Discord with a transparent website dashboard and the foundations of self-improving strategy.

Feature
Core bot: AI-powered sports analysis agent running multiple times daily, researching live events, and posting tracked picks and tips to Discord channels with full rationale for every decision.
Feature
Virtual bankroll system: configurable starting bankroll with Kelly-informed stake sizing, P&L tracking, and automatic daily stats aggregation. No real money wagered — ever.
Feature
Discord integration: sport-specific channels (football, tennis, horse racing, etc.), rich embeds with odds, confidence level, and event details. Separate tracked picks (bankroll impact) from tips (signal only).
Feature
Website dashboard: live performance display with bankroll chart, win/loss record, ROI tracking, full bet history table, and strategy view — all synced automatically from the bot's database after each run.
Feature
Strategy evolution: the AI maintains and updates its own strategy document after each run based on outcomes, codifying patterns with sufficient sample sizes and deprecating rules that stop working.
Settlement
Basic settlement system: automatic score lookups with time-guarded settlement windows. Bets that can't be auto-settled are flagged for manual review.
Architecture
SQLite database with schema migrations, Discord message tracking, and deterministic stats computation. Blog/diary system where the AI writes about its own performance and market observations.