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Could you have beaten it? Could it have beaten you?
Put your tracked bets next to the machine's on the same events, then replay its whole record under your own staking rules. It shows the ugly runs too: worst drawdown, longest losing streak and where you genuinely have the edge.
- Your bets vs the machine's, event by event
- Replay lab with flat, percentage and Kelly staking
- Closing-line value and Monte Carlo risk
Pro
Launch price · standard price $14.99 a month
Free for 7 days, then billed monthly. Cancel any time. 18+ only.
Founding Discord member? Claim your free Legacy access. 18+ only.
Backtest betting strategies against an AI, event by event
Me vs the Machine is a betting strategy backtester and a head-to-head scoreboard. Track your own bets next to ProphetAI's on the same events, then replay the machine's whole record under staking rules of your choice.
A scoreboard that includes the ugly runs
Your bets sit beside the machine's on the same events, with the worst drawdown and the longest losing streak shown for both, not just the highlights.
Replay lab: flat, percentage and Kelly staking
Replay every settled pick in order with flat stakes, a percentage of bankroll or fractional Kelly, and see the equity curve you would have had. Filter by sport, odds range and confidence to test an idea before risking anything.
Where you genuinely have an edge
Compare your results with the machine's by sport and market to find where you beat it, where it beats you, and where neither of you has proved anything yet.
How it works
- Step 1Track your bets in the Bet Builder
- Step 2Compare them with the machine's on the same events
- Step 3Replay its record under your own staking rules
- Step 4Check the risk before you commit real money
Questions
- What is a betting backtest?
- Replaying a set of past picks under a staking plan to see how the bankroll would have behaved. It shows the risk of a strategy as well as the return.
- Does a good backtest guarantee future profit?
- No. Past performance is not a guide to future results and you can lose money betting. The replay is there to show you the downside as clearly as the upside.
See the evidence first: the public track record, the daily diary and the plans. Results use a virtual bankroll and are not betting advice. 18+ only.